Mining

AME Roundup: Patricia Mohr sees a copper supercycle emerging in the medium term

While the top-performing metals of 2021 comprised China neodymium oxide, lithium spot concentrates in Western Australia, nickel sulphate in the domestic market in China, and LME copper, the copper price performance was not nearly as spectacular as the price leaders.

However, the newfound demand for copper as a critical metal drives the potential for higher prices and prompts the copper price to act in non-traditional ways.

According to Mohr, industrial activity in China has decelerated to about 3% for six months running. “Typically, in the past, copper prices would have cratered. You’d be looking at $2.50 per pound copper, but instead, you’re looking at $4-plus copper, and the key reason is the advent of new demand, which is driving the market forward. China is likely to slow from growth of 8.1% last year to about 5% to 5.5% in the next few years, which is its potential for growth,” she told the AME Roundup in Vancouver.

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