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Why This Inovio Analyst Is Reducing Estimates For The Coronavirus Vaccine Developer

a Phase 2/3 clinical study of its developmental DNA coronavirus vaccine. ” data-reactid=”19″>Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: INO) failed to inspire confidence among investors despite revealing in its second-quarter earnings report that it is on track for a September start for a Phase 2/3 clinical study of its developmental DNA coronavirus vaccine. 

Charles Duncan reiterated an Overweight rating on Inovio shares and reduced the price target from $45 to $31. ” data-reactid=”20″>The Inovio Analyst: Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan reiterated an Overweight rating on Inovio shares and reduced the price target from $45 to $31. 

here.)” data-reactid=”21″>The Inovio Thesis: Inovio’s planned Phase 3 study in at-risk volunteers with an assumed higher case rate — although encouraging — poses greater execution risk and mounting competition for clinical trial resources and in-market demand, given the progress made by other vaccine developers, Duncan said in a Tuesday note. (See his track record here.)

Cantor is taking a conservative stance and reduced its estimate for Inovio’s number of doses sold in 2022-2026, the analyst said.  

Given Inovio’s quarter-end cash position of $372 million, there is likely to be sufficient funding into 2023, with a bevy of potential pipeline milestones, he said. 

Phase 1 study and qualitative characterization of the composition of immune responses warrant movement of the investigational vaccine into a Phase 2/3 efficacy study, Duncan said. ” data-reactid=”28″>The 94% responder rate for the INO-4800 vaccine in the Phase 1 study and qualitative characterization of the composition of immune responses warrant movement of the investigational vaccine into a Phase 2/3 efficacy study, Duncan said. 

The analyst said he expects patient enrollment in the study to occur during the summer or early fall.

View more earnings on INO” data-reactid=”30″>View more earnings on INO

The proposed Phase 2/3 study is likely to enroll health care workers, first responders and persons in other occupations that place them at higher risk of COVID-19 infection, he said. 

The size and the speed of the study will depend on several factors, including the viral attack rate, Duncan said. 

The company is also expected to release 18-month overall survival data from INO-5401/INO-9012/checkpoint inhibitor in glioblastoma multiforme and data from the Phase 2 study of MEDI-0457 in combination with durvalumab for metastatic HPV-related squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck, according to Cantor Fitzgerald.

Latest Ratings for INO

Date Firm Action From To
Jul 2020 Maxim Group Downgrades Buy Hold
Jun 2020 HC Wainwright & Co. Downgrades Buy Neutral
Jun 2020 Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains Overweight

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