TSE:BNS) shareholders, since the share price is down 28% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 12%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 26% in a year.” data-reactid=”28″>Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that’s been the case for longer term The Bank of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS) shareholders, since the share price is down 28% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 12%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 26% in a year.
Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Nova Scotia ” data-reactid=”29″> Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Nova Scotia
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Bank of Nova Scotia saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 3.9% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 11% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 9.60.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
earnings, revenue and cash flow.” data-reactid=”49″>It’s good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That’s a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Bank of Nova Scotia’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Bank of Nova Scotia the TSR over the last 3 years was -17%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
check here to see what price insiders were buying at.” data-reactid=”53″>While the broader market lost about 2.6% in the twelve months, Bank of Nova Scotia shareholders did even worse, losing 22% (even including dividends). Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3.7% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.
list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.” data-reactid=”54″>Bank of Nova Scotia is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email [email protected].” data-reactid=”60″>This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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